PITTSBURGH -- In a surprising turnaround, the amount of carbon
dioxide being released into the atmosphere in the U.S. has fallen
dramatically to its lowest level in 20 years, and government officials
say the biggest reason is that cheap and plentiful natural gas has led
many power plant operators to switch from dirtier-burning coal.
Many of the world's leading climate scientists didn't see the drop
coming, in large part because it happened as a result of market forces
rather than direct government action against carbon dioxide, a
greenhouse gas that traps heat in the atmosphere.
Michael Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State
University, said the shift away from coal is reason for "cautious
optimism" about potential ways to deal with climate change. He said it
demonstrates that "ultimately people follow their wallets" on global
warming.
"There's a very clear lesson here. What it shows is that if you make a
cleaner energy source cheaper, you will displace dirtier sources," said
Roger Pielke Jr., a climate expert at the University of Colorado.
In a little-noticed technical report, the U.S. Energy Information
Agency, a part of the Energy Department, said this month that total U.S.
CO2 emissions for the first four months of this year fell to about 1992
levels. The Associated Press contacted environmental experts,
scientists and utility companies and learned that virtually everyone
believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S.
energy policy.
While conservation efforts, the lagging economy and greater use of
renewable energy are factors in the CO2 decline, the drop-off is due
mainly to low-priced natural gas, the agency said.
The International Energy Agency said the U.S. has cut carbon dioxide
emissions more than any other country over the last six years. Total
U.S. carbon emissions from energy consumption peaked at about 6 billion
metric tons in 2007. Projections for this year are around 5.2 billion,
and the 1990 figure was about 5 billion. China's emissions were estimated to be about 9 billion tons in 2011,
accounting for about 29 percent of the global total. The U.S. accounted
for approximately 16 percent.
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